Ram shrine, Nitish Kumar. What follows? How BJP performs in contest for 2024 Lok Sabha ballot.

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Election Fever Rising: BJP Maneuvers and Opposition Muddles in Indian Politics

Reaching a fever pitch, the political race for Lok Sabha sees the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its opposition pulling out all the stops to challenge one another. With the erratic shifts in national politics, momentum tilts dominantly towards the reigning party, according to our sources.

Winds Favoring the BJP

Factors such as the inauguration of the Ram Temple in Ayodhya – a massive rallying cry for BJP, the Supreme Court’s verdict on Article 370, the disarray within the opposition, and volatile politics within Bihar – all seem to bolster the position of the right-wing party. The actual sentiments of the constituents, however, will be unraveled only post the poll results.

Reputed analysts, as per our source, are predicting the BJP’s third consecutive victory. Despite pockets of resistance in south and east India, the national level opposition appears weak and fragmented.

Impact of Article 370

In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Article 370 – the special status of Jammu and Kashmir, was one of BJP’s key platforms. The rule was abrogated on August 6, 2019, a move the Supreme Court upheld on December 11, 2023.

The court’s decision seemed to invigorate BJP and diminish the validity of the opposition’s criticism about issues such as unemployment and allegations related to the Pegasus affair.

The disparate opinions within the opposition further strengthened the BJP. Even though parties like the Aam Aadmi Party and Congress were against the repeal of Article 370, none explicitly demanded its reimplementation.

The Significance of Ram Temple

The BJP’s promise to construct a temple for Lord Ram in Ayodhya, his purported birthplace, was popular with votaries. Political strategists suggest this could result in an overwhelming majority for BJP – possibly over 400 seats in the Lok Sabha.

The correlation between the temple’s inauguration and the increased momentum towards the elections suggests the successful implementation of BJP’s outreach programs.

Prime Minister’s Role

The central role played by PM Modi in the Ram temple construction has been key. From the foundation stone to the ceremony, he has been a major figure, further boosting BJP’s popularity as it capitalizes on religious sentiments.

Strained Opposition Ties

Against this backdrop, the concerted efforts of the opposition to challenge BJP in the upcoming national election seems to have stumbling blocks. Issues such as seat-sharing disagreements in West Bengal and Punjab continue to create rifts within the opposition.

The dissolution of the ‘Mahagathbandhan’ coalition in Bihar and the reinstatement of JD(U) chief Nitish Kumar as CM, backed by BJP, dealt another significant blow to the opposition. These recent developments seem to bolster BJP’s effort to maintain the majority in Lok Sabha.


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